Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AAL
2 - 0
FRE
13%
17%
71%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 0
KPF
85%
11%
5%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
4 - 1
KEH
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 0
FRE
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FRE
5 - 0
OBE
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VFR
0 - 3
SPI
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PFU
1 - 0
VFR
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
VFR
0 - 1
RAV
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GRU
4 - 0
VFR
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
VFR
3 - 1
HEI
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |