Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BIS
2 - 3
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
BAH
35%
26%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
FRE
58%
21%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
HOL
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
SIN
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VFR
1 - 3
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
KSC
0 - 2
VFR
67%
20%
14%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VFR
3 - 1
STU
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KEH
0 - 1
VFR
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SPI
2 - 0
VFR
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |