Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
LIN
4 - 7
FRE
24%
25%
52%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
FRE
5 - 1
AST
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 1
FRE
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
FRE
0 - 2
HEI
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 1
SGS
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
VFR
1 - 3
WAL
23%
28%
49%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 0
VFR
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
VFR
0 - 0
HOF
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BAH
2 - 0
VFR
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
KIR
1 - 1
VFR
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |