Freiberg vs VfR Heilbronn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LUD
3 - 0
FRE
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
FRE
2 - 4
BAH
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
FRE
1 - 1
AJL
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
WEI
4 - 4
FRE
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
FRE
0 - 0
FVL
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
HEI
1 - 3
PFO
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
DEN
0 - 1
HEI
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
WMI
3 - 0
HEI
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
HEI
4 - 2
FRE
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
VIL
1 - 2
HEI
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |