Freiberg vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 0
FRE
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
REU
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 1
FRE
63%
20%
16%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 1
FRE
12%
19%
70%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
STU
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ULM
0 - 1
SPI
39%
23%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PFU
1 - 5
ULM
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ULM
0 - 3
RAV
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GFR
0 - 1
ULM
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ULM
2 - 1
BAL
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |