Freiberg vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
63.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
FCE
0 - 0
FRE
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 3
WAL
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SVS
4 - 0
FRE
60%
23%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 5
HOF
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -3 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 0
VFR
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
9%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
HEI
0 - 0
ULM
47%
23%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ULM
5 - 0
FCE
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 1
ULM
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ULM
0 - 3
SVS
68%
18%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |