Freiberg vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
BON
38%
28%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FVL
0 - 3
FRE
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
VFR
0 - 1
FRE
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 1
REU
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
HEI
2 - 1
FRE
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 2
ULM
12%
20%
69%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
ULM
1 - 2
FRE
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BAH
0 - 1
ULM
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
ULM
3 - 1
BON
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
FVL
3 - 0
ULM
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |