Freiberg vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
FRE
1 - 2
LUD
36%
24%
41%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
WEI
2 - 1
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 0
KSC
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LIN
3 - 2
FRE
38%
24%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
FRE
1 - 0
BAH
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ULM
0 - 4
CRA
81%
13%
7%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
WAL
3 - 0
ULM
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
ULM
2 - 1
FRE
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
BON
2 - 0
ULM
21%
26%
54%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
ULM
0 - 3
STU
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | -1 |