Freiberg vs Weinheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BON
0 - 1
FRE
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 2
FRE
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
ILL
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 1
FRE
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
AST
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Weinheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
WEI
1 - 0
NOT
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 2
WEI
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WEI
0 - 3
BAH
36%
25%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
AST
4 - 1
WEI
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
WEI
2 - 2
KIR
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |