Freiberg vs Weinheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
FRE
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 0
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 3
FRE
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 1
HOF
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
FRE
1 - 0
AJL
34%
25%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Weinheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 1
CRA
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 1
WEI
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 2
FRE
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
BON
3 - 0
WEI
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
WEI
0 - 0
STU
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |