Freiberg vs FC Giessen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
16º
6º
18
4º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 74 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 64 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 63 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 62 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 61 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 46 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 35 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
45% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 4
FRE
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
FRE
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
HES
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 2
FRE
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Giessen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GIE
0 - 3
FSV
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
OFC
1 - 1
GIE
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GIE
0 - 2
STE
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GOP
5 - 4
GIE
36%
25%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GIE
1 - 2
AST
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |