Freiberg vs SpVgg Ludwigsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
WEI
2 - 1
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 0
KSC
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LIN
3 - 2
FRE
38%
24%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
FRE
1 - 0
BAH
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
HOF
3 - 0
FRE
68%
18%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
LUD
1 - 3
CRA
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
WAL
2 - 0
LUD
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
LUD
0 - 2
FRE
49%
24%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
BON
1 - 4
LUD
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
LUD
0 - 3
STU
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |