Freiberg vs SpVgg Au analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 0
SVS
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 0
FRE
58%
23%
20%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CRA
2 - 1
FRE
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 1
WAL
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
3 - 2
FRE
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Au
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
CRA
2 - 2
AJL
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
AJL
0 - 0
WAL
24%
26%
50%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FRE
6 - 1
AJL
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
AJL
3 - 0
BON
35%
27%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
STU
2 - 0
AJL
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |