Freiberg vs Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
BON
0 - 1
FRE
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
FRE
1 - 4
FRE
45%
24%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FCT
0 - 0
FRE
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
PFO
52%
21%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
AJL
2 - 4
FRE
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SDO
0 - 1
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ULM
5 - 2
SDO
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SDO
1 - 1
STU
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 1
SDO
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
LUD
2 - 2
SDO
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |