Freiberg vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 3
FRE
54%
21%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 2
RAV
52%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 2
TSB
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SPI
1 - 0
FRE
17%
19%
64%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
AST
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SPI
1 - 3
TSB
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
SPI
13%
15%
72%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
SPI
78%
15%
8%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SPI
1 - 0
FRE
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
OBE
2 - 5
SPI
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |