Freiberg vs Pforzheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BAH
2 - 4
FRE
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
FRE
3 - 0
STU
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
BON
0 - 3
FRE
20%
24%
57%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
FRE
4 - 0
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
FRE
5 - 2
FRE
43%
27%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Pforzheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
PFO
1 - 1
NOR
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
HEI
3 - 0
PFO
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PFO
2 - 0
VFR
32%
26%
42%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
HOF
1 - 2
PFO
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
PFO
0 - 3
SVS
15%
21%
65%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |