Freiberg vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRE
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TSB
5 - 1
FRE
29%
21%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -6 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 0
SPI
65%
18%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AST
1 - 2
FRE
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 2
BIS
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
OBE
0 - 0
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
OBE
5 - 0
PFO
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NEC
2 - 0
OBE
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
OBE
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
OBE
4 - 0
TSB
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |