Freiberg vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 3
FRE
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
GRU
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VFR
7 - 2
FRE
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 0
BAL
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
STU
3 - 2
FRE
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
OBE
2 - 0
REU
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
RAV
1 - 2
OBE
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
GRU
5 - 3
OBE
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 0
KEH
34%
25%
42%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BRU
1 - 0
OBE
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |