Freiberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 5
GOP
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SDO
2 - 3
FRE
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 3
SVS
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
PFO
1 - 0
FRE
34%
23%
42%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FRE
5 - 1
SAN
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NOT
3 - 3
SDO
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SVS
1 - 3
NOT
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 3
PFO
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -3 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
NOT
15%
19%
66%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 2
BIS
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |