Freiberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
FRE
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 4
FRE
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
KSC
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
STU
2 - 4
FRE
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 2
KEH
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 2
STU
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
KSC
0 - 2
NOT
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
KEH
0 - 1
NOT
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
5 - 1
REU
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SPI
0 - 2
NOT
31%
23%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |