Freiberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
CRA
5 - 0
FRE
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 1
FCE
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
SGS
1 - 2
FRE
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
SVS
4 - 0
FRE
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 1
NOR
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 1
NOR
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
HEI
1 - 0
NOT
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
NOT
3 - 0
VFR
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
HOF
3 - 1
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 1
PFO
51%
23%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |