Freiberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 3
FRE
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 1
SGS
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 0
FRE
65%
20%
14%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
LIN
0 - 1
FRE
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 1
ASV
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 1
ULM
26%
25%
50%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
HEI
2 - 2
NOT
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 1
FCE
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
NOT
3 - 3
SVS
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
HOF
2 - 1
NOT
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |