Freiberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
0 - 2
FRE
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LUD
1 - 1
FRE
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
WEI
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
FRE
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 0
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
CRA
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
WAL
0 - 2
NOT
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 0
FRE
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BON
0 - 4
NOT
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
NOT
0 - 0
STU
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |