Freiberg vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAH
3 - 0
FRE
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FRE
6 - 1
GOP
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
OBE
1 - 3
FRE
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FRE
4 - 0
NOT
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BIS
1 - 0
FRE
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 2
TSB
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 1
NOR
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 0
ILS
46%
23%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
SVS
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NEC
0 - 0
NOR
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |