Freiberg vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ILL
2 - 2
FRE
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 0
BAH
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
AST
0 - 2
FRE
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
FRE
5 - 0
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
OFF
3 - 3
FRE
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
BAL
42%
24%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SGS
1 - 0
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
4 - 0
KIR
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NOT
4 - 3
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
KEH
0 - 1
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |