Freiberg vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SGS
0 - 2
FRE
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FRE
2 - 1
FRE
34%
29%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
HEI
2 - 1
FRE
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
VFR
0 - 1
FRE
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
FRE
6 - 0
LIN
68%
20%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 2
ULM
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
NOR
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 3
FCE
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 3
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 0
SVS
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |