Freiberg vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
SVS
4 - 0
FRE
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 0
HOF
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
5 - 1
FRE
75%
17%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 3
CRA
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
5 - 3
FRE
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
STU
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
NOR
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
ULM
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 0
NOR
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 2
BON
45%
25%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |