Freiberg vs Hoffenheim II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
5 - 1
FRE
75%
17%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 3
CRA
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
5 - 3
FRE
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
STU
0 - 0
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
2 - 2
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HOF
4 - 2
STU
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 4
HOF
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
HOF
1 - 2
ULM
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
HOF
2 - 0
BON
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
BAH
0 - 2
HOF
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |