Freiberg vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
VFR
2 - 2
FRE
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
FRE
2 - 0
HOF
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PFO
2 - 3
FRE
30%
25%
44%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
FRE
1 - 1
BAH
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
STU
0 - 3
FRE
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
HEI
3 - 1
NOR
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HEI
3 - 0
SVS
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
VFR
1 - 1
HEI
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
HEI
2 - 0
HOF
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
PFO
0 - 2
HEI
14%
20%
65%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |