Freiberg vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 0
VFR
28%
27%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
REU
3 - 1
FRE
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
FRE
3 - 4
HEI
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
LUD
0 - 0
FRE
35%
25%
39%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 2
KSC
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 2
HEI
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
HEI
4 - 4
CRA
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
FRE
3 - 4
HEI
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
HEI
5 - 0
STU
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 2
HEI
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |