Freiberg vs Grunbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
4 - 1
BIS
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 2
FRE
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SIN
5 - 1
FRE
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 0
OFF
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grunbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
KSC
1 - 0
GRU
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GRU
1 - 1
STU
41%
23%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KEH
3 - 2
GRU
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SPI
2 - 0
GRU
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VFR
2 - 0
GRU
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |