Freiberg vs Lauda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
25.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
CRA
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
FRE
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
BON
2 - 3
FRE
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 1
STU
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 3
FRE
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
LUD
2 - 0
FVL
50%
25%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
FVL
4 - 1
CRA
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +4 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
WEI
1 - 1
FVL
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
FVL
0 - 3
WAL
14%
24%
62%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
KSC
2 - 2
FVL
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |