Freiberg vs Lauda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SDO
2 - 2
FRE
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
FRE
1 - 1
BON
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
FRE
2 - 2
FRE
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FRE
0 - 2
FCT
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
PFO
0 - 4
FRE
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FVL
1 - 2
NOT
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ULM
2 - 2
FVL
86%
11%
4%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
FVL
1 - 0
STU
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FVL
2 - 1
LUD
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
SDO
1 - 1
FVL
43%
27%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |