Freiberg vs Crailsheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
FRE
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
BON
2 - 3
FRE
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 1
STU
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 3
FRE
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
REU
4 - 0
FRE
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Crailsheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
FVL
4 - 1
CRA
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
CRA
1 - 2
WAL
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
CRA
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CRA
3 - 0
BON
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
STU
0 - 3
CRA
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |