Freiberg vs Bonlanden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 2
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ILL
2 - 2
FRE
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
FRE
0 - 1
BAH
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 0
NOR
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AST
3 - 0
FRE
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
BON
1 - 3
NOR
20%
24%
56%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
NOT
4 - 1
BON
73%
16%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BON
6 - 1
SPI
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BON
0 - 2
HOF
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ILL
2 - 1
BON
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |