Freiberg vs Bonlanden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 0
FRE
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
FRE
0 - 2
FCE
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 5
FRE
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
FRE
0 - 5
SVS
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
HOF
4 - 1
FRE
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
BON
0 - 2
NOR
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
0 - 1
BON
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BON
2 - 3
ULM
17%
22%
62%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
BAH
3 - 2
BON
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 0
BON
69%
20%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |