Freiberg vs ASV Durlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
NEC
5 - 1
FRE
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 3
NOT
20%
24%
56%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
2 - 1
FRE
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
NEC
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
FRE
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Durlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASV
2 - 2
NEC
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 2
ASV
32%
24%
43%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ASV
1 - 5
KIR
26%
25%
50%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ASV
0 - 1
BAH
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
AST
0 - 0
ASV
70%
18%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |