Freiberg vs Astoria Walldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NOT
5 - 0
FRE
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 0
KSC
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 1
FRE
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 4
AST
26%
25%
50%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -3 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NOT
2 - 2
FRE
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Astoria Walldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AST
1 - 2
REU
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RAV
1 - 3
AST
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
AST
1 - 1
KEH
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 4
AST
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
BAL
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |