Free State Stars vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 2
CHI
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SSU
0 - 0
FRE
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 1
GOL
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 0
BLO
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BID
3 - 0
SUN
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 2
BID
26%
29%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MPU
0 - 0
BID
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
BID
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BID
3 - 0
MPU
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |