Free State Stars vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SSU
2 - 1
FRE
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 0
FRE
58%
24%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 2
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SUN
2 - 0
FRE
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRE
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
PLS
0 - 2
BID
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
BID
0 - 0
BLA
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
BID
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BID
1 - 3
BLO
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PIR
0 - 0
BID
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |