Free State Stars vs Venda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RIB
0 - 0
FRE
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 1
PCR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
POL
0 - 0
FRE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 1
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
UTH
0 - 1
FRE
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VFA
1 - 0
TTM
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 0
VFA
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |