Free State Stars vs Uthongathi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
RKF
3 - 1
FRE
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
JDR
1 - 1
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FRE
1 - 1
PCF
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
CPU
2 - 0
FRE
29%
28%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FRE
0 - 1
UTH
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Uthongathi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
COS
0 - 1
UTH
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
UTH
0 - 2
TSS
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
UTH
1 - 1
ALL
43%
29%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FRE
0 - 1
UTH
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
UTH
1 - 2
TSG
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |