Free State Stars vs TS Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 1
FRE
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 0
VFA
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RIB
0 - 0
FRE
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 1
PCR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
POL
0 - 0
FRE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
TS Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TSS
0 - 0
PRE
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 1
TSS
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
ALL
3 - 2
TSS
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TSS
1 - 0
PCF
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 2
TSS
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |