Free State Stars vs Thanda Royal Zulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
FRE
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 2
FRE
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
FRE
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 0
PLS
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
SUN
0 - 0
FRE
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thanda Royal Zulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SWA
3 - 1
THA
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
THA
0 - 2
PIR
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
THA
42%
24%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
THA
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
THA
1 - 0
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |