Free State Stars vs Thanda Royal Zulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BLA
1 - 2
FRE
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 0
BLO
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GOL
2 - 2
FRE
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
FRE
4 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
0 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Thanda Royal Zulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
THA
1 - 2
PLS
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
THA
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
THA
0 - 1
SSU
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 1
THA
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
COS
1 - 2
THA
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |