Free State Stars vs SuperSport United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
FRE
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
FRE
32%
28%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 2
SUN
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BID
1 - 3
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
FRE
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SuperSport United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SSU
1 - 0
PIR
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
SSU
1 - 3
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SSU
1 - 4
ETO
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
SSU
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ETO
1 - 0
SSU
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |