Free State Stars vs Santos Cape Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
FRE
30%
29%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
BID
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
GOL
1 - 1
FRE
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
FRE
4 - 1
SSU
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
FRE
3 - 2
AMA
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Cape Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
PIR
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
SAN
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
BID
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
GOL
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
SAN
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |