Free State Stars vs Royal Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
STE
1 - 2
FRE
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FRE
3 - 1
MBO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
FRE
1 - 1
RKF
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TSS
1 - 1
FRE
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FRE
2 - 2
AJA
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Royal Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
EAG
1 - 0
PRE
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RIB
2 - 1
EAG
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
EAG
1 - 3
SWA
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
JDR
2 - 2
EAG
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
EAG
78%
16%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |