Free State Stars vs Richards Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 2
FRE
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
TSS
0 - 2
FRE
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 0
JDR
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 1
TTM
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
POL
1 - 0
FRE
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
RIB
0 - 0
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
TTM
0 - 1
RIB
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
RIB
2 - 1
PRE
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
RIB
5 - 2
PCR
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
JDR
1 - 1
RIB
44%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |