Free State Stars vs Royal AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 2
COS
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PRE
0 - 1
FRE
26%
27%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 1
CPU
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 1
ALL
57%
24%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SUF
1 - 0
FRE
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Royal AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
RKF
0 - 0
SUF
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
RKF
0 - 1
JDR
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BPC
0 - 2
RKF
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
RKF
0 - 0
COS
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PCF
2 - 3
RKF
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |